Weekly narrative

Week 32, 2026: 396 settled experiments.

Across all 396 matches this week, config-pair either-hit 76%, both-hit 27%.

Direction hit rate 49% (396 matches this week).

Primary config hit rate 56% (396 matches this week).

Goals O/U hit rate 55% (396 matches this week).

Streak records

Peak Config pair hit streak: 12 matches

Peak Result hit streak: 9 matches

Peak Primary hit streak: 6 matches

Vs last week

Week over week: Config pair vs last week -1pp · Direction vs last week +0pp · Goals O/U vs last week -1pp

In-week trend

In-week trend: config-pair either-hit 73% early → 79% late

Highlights

This week (396 matches): 105 full hits · 83 full misses · Finnish Division 1 leads at 100% config-pair rate

Result

Stats hint: at a 49% base hit rate, 2 consecutive misses occur about 25.5% of the time — normal variance.

Editor's note

2026 年第 32 週編輯洞察

本週公開實驗持續累積，績效儀表板與每週洞察仍以「可驗證、可追溯」為核心。自動統計敘事會摘要命中與校準訊號；以下編輯補充說明如何解讀本週樣本。

本週閱讀重點

體育量化模型不是保證賽果的機器，而是把公開定價、歷史校準與人工審核放在同一閱讀路徑上的研究工具。命中與未中都應保留在公開紀錄中，這也是九章鞠策與「只給結論、不給過程」內容的差異。

資產權重配置與虛擬點數僅供 FPL 與統計研究，不構成投資建議。更多說明見 /faq 與 /guides/research-not-investment-advice。