PitchCopilot Performance dashboard
Verifiable historical decisions — fully transparent, including losing streaks
Primary
70%
Last 10
Config pair hit rate (either)
70%
Core or secondary hit · last 10
Both-hit rate
40%
Both core and secondary hit · last 10
1572 settled experiments on record; snapshot over the last 10 matches.
Config pair
Direction & goals
Full settlement history
1572 settled matches — predictions, results, and five-metric outcomes
Open history explorer →
Performance story
1572 settled experiments on record; snapshot over the last 10 matches.
Over the last 10 settled matches, config-pair at-least-one hit rate is 70% with both-hit at 40%.
Config-pair either-hit rate over the last 10 matches: 70%.
Direction hit rate over the same window: 30%.
Primary config hit rate: 70% (last 10 matches).
Window highlights (10 matches): 4 full hits · 3 full misses · English Premier League leads at 67% config-pair rate
Streak variance context
Config pair
Stats hint: at a 70% base hit rate, 2 consecutive misses occur about 9.0% of the time — normal variance.
Primary
Stats hint: at a 70% base hit rate, 2 consecutive misses occur about 9.0% of the time — normal variance.
Secondary
Stats hint: at a 40% base hit rate, 2 consecutive misses occur about 36.0% of the time — normal variance.
Result
Stats hint: at a 30% base hit rate, 2 consecutive misses occur about 49.0% of the time — normal variance.
Goals O/U
Stats hint: at a 70% base hit rate, 2 consecutive misses occur about 9.0% of the time — normal variance.
Dimensions
Full history：Spanish Division 2 config pair 100% · South America region 80%
Regional lens
Global league index
Brier Score（Primary) Brier accuracy score: measures probabilistic forecast quality on a 0–2 scale; closer to 0 is better.
0.235
Virtual ROI（Primary) Cumulative return on a fixed virtual pool settled on Top1 primary picks only; for research, not real investment advice.
22.8%
Brier Score（Secondary) Brier accuracy score: measures probabilistic forecast quality on a 0–2 scale; closer to 0 is better.
—
Virtual ROI（Secondary) Virtual return settled on Top2 secondary picks only; for comparing primary vs secondary long-term performance.
54.6%
Five-metric rolling trends
Data range: last 10
Config pair hit rate (either) rolling hit rate % (last 10)
Version comparison (in-segment cumulative)
Config-pair cumulative trends overlaid per version; switch X-axis between match index or segment progress %. Unlike the full-history chart below (continuous across versions).
Versions with n < 10 use dashed lines; click legend items to show or hide series
| Version | n | Config pair | Primary | Secondary | Result | Goals O/U | Brier | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primus | 5 | 80% | 80% | 25% | 40% | 60% | 0.197 | -10.6% |
| Libra | 7 | 71% | 71% | 17% | 29% | 43% | 0.214 | -27.2% |
| Ramus | 14 | 57% | 50% | 36% | 50% | 64% | 0.319 | -39.1% |
| Orbis | 14 | 71% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 43% | 0.220 | -14.7% |
| Codex | 11 | 64% | 36% | 60% | 73% | 45% | 0.203 | -15.2% |
| Fila | 77 | 78% | 52% | 53% | 49% | 56% | 0.178 | -14.5% |
| Lexis | 61 | 79% | 52% | 56% | 52% | 54% | 0.168 | -12.6% |
| Aestus | 109 | 83% | 54% | 61% | 45% | 63% | 0.155 | -4.1% |
| Ordo | 373 | 76% | 54% | 60% | 53% | 54% | 0.200 | -6.8% |
| Certus | 901 | 75% | 54% | 49% | 47% | 55% | 0.199 | 2.2% |
Model evolution (five cumulative hit rates)
Full-history cumulative (from Primus), unaffected by window filter above; x-axis by model version, sorted by kickoff within version
Confidence calibration (primary)
Confidence calibration (secondary)
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.