Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+1.9%
Secondary
Market
—
Libra
30.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
—
Result
Market
51.9%
Libra
50.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-1.9%
Settled
Australia Cup · 2026-07-21 17:30
· Libra
Lions FC vs Perth RadianceLions FC vs Perth Radiance
Predicted1-2
Actual0-0
The core setup is 3.5 goals, combined with a full game of [-0.5] as the main defensive lineup
Primary[3.5] Under✓SecondaryAway[-0.5]✗ResultAway✗Goals O/U[3.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Libra probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Libra %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
