Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+1.2%
Secondary
Market
58.5%
Orbis
57.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-1.5%
Result
Market
58.5%
Orbis
57.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-1.5%
Settled
Mexican Premier · 2026-07-22 00:00
· Orbis
Toluca vs Pumas UNAMToluca vs Pumas UNAM
Predicted2-1
Actual1-2
A high-probability 2.5-goal big is the core, paired with a home win as a supporting lineup
Primary[2.5] Over✓SecondaryHome✗ResultHome✗Goals O/U[2.5] Over
✓
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Pumas UNAM is a football club in Mexico City, the capital of Mexico. The National Autonomous University Club is the representative team of the National Autonomous University of Mexico, the largest university in Mexico. Its home stadium is located at the Olympic Stadium in University City. The name PUMAS is taken from the Spanish "Puma", which is also reflected in its team emblem.
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Orbis probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Orbis %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
