Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-4.7%
Secondary
Market
55.6%
Codex
56.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+0.4%
Result
Market
49.0%
Codex
44.3%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-4.7%
Settled
Korean Division 1 · 2026-07-22 18:30
· Codex
Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon SangmuGwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu
Predicted0-1
Actual1-1
Core configuration is Away Win, paired with [2.5] for dual protection
PrimaryAway✗Secondary[2.5] Under✓ResultAway✗Goals O/U[2.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Codex probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Codex %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
深度分析
盤口結構與戰術走勢評估
本場南韓職業聯賽由 FC 光州 主場迎戰 金泉尚武。從市場最新隱含定價來看，客勝獨贏開出 1.80（折合勝率約 49%），而主勝則高達 3.85。盤口結構對客隊金泉尚武給予顯著的強勢傾斜，市場資金與精算模型均認為金泉尚武在攻防轉換與戰術執行力上具備明顯優勢。
