Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+1.2%
Secondary
Market
58.9%
Ramus
62.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+3.1%
Result
Market
69.8%
Ramus
71.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+1.2%
Settled
UE Conference · 2026-07-22 01:00
· Ramus
Goteborg vs FCI LeviaGoteborg vs FCI Levia
Predicted2-0
Actual1-2
Gothenburg has a clear home advantage, with asset allocation focused on a full-time home win, and a solid 3.5-goal defense as the second pick.
PrimaryHome✗Secondary[3.5] Under✓ResultHome✗Goals O/U[3.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Ramus probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Ramus %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
