Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+1.8%
Secondary
Market
—
Orbis
34.2%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
—
Result
Market
43.9%
Orbis
44.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+0.1%
Settled
Cup Competition · 2026-07-22 03:30
· Orbis
Fluminense Women's Football Team vs Gaoshi Road women's footballFluminense Women's Football Team vs Gaoshi Road women's football
Predicted0-1
Actual2-1
For cup match defensive orientation, the first pick is the away team to play a draw-easy [Full Away [0]], followed by [2.5 goals under] to control the handicap, with an estimated score of 0-1.
Primary[2.5] Under✗SecondaryAway[0]✗ResultAway✗Goals O/U[2.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Orbis probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Orbis %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
