Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-24.8%
Secondary
Market
57.8%
Fila
60.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+2.2%
Result
Market
66.3%
Fila
41.5%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-24.8%
Settled
UE Champions · 2026-07-23 01:30
· Fila
Levski Sofia vs CS Universitatea CraiovaLevski Sofia vs CS Universitatea Craiova
Predicted1-0
Actual1-0
Core lineup for home win, second pick [2.5] Small, to support the low-score defensive tug-of-war
PrimaryHome✓Secondary[2.5] Under✓ResultHome✓Goals O/U[2.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Fila probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Fila %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
