Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+7.3%
Secondary
Market
42.7%
Fila
40.8%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-1.9%
Result
Market
42.7%
Fila
40.8%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-1.9%
Settled
Brazilian Division 1 · 2026-07-23 08:30
· Fila
Internacional vs CruzeiroInternacional vs Cruzeiro
Predicted1-0
Actual1-2
Core setup [2.5] Fine, second pick home win reflects the narrow win pattern
Primary[2.5] Under✗SecondaryHome✗ResultHome✗Goals O/U[2.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Fila probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Fila %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
