Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+1.6%
Secondary
Market
1.8%
Fila
13.5%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+11.7%
Result
Market
89.5%
Fila
69.5%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-20.0%
Settled
Norwegian Division 1 · 2026-07-23 01:00
· Fila
Bodo Glimt vs Ham-KamBodo Glimt vs Ham-Kam
Predicted3-0
Actual3-0
Core setup [4.5] small, second pick away [+3], expected to win at home but unlikely to be extremely critty.
Primary[4.5] Under✓SecondaryAway[+3]—ResultHome✓Goals O/U[4.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Fila probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Fila %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.