Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+0.5%
Secondary
Market
59.6%
Fila
64.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+4.4%
Result
Market
39.6%
Fila
40.1%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+0.5%
Settled
Copa Sudamericana · 2026-07-23 06:00
· Fila
Medellín became independent vs Vasco da GamaMedellín became independent vs Vasco da Gama
Predicted1-0
Actual2-2
Core lineup is home win, secondary pick [2.5] Detailed Echoes low score lock-in
PrimaryHome✗Secondary[2.5] Under✗ResultHome✗Goals O/U[2.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Fila probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Fila %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
