Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-4.6%
Secondary
Market
58.4%
Fila
58.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-0.4%
Result
Market
51.0%
Fila
46.4%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-4.6%
Settled
USL Championship · 2026-07-23 07:00
· Fila
Lexington SC vs Oakland RootsLexington SC vs Oakland Roots
Predicted2-1
Actual2-0
Core setup is home win, second pick [2.5] high, echoing the multi-goal prediction
PrimaryHome✓Secondary[2.5] Over✗ResultHome✓Goals O/U[2.5] Over
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Fila probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Fila %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
深度分析
針對本場美國冠軍聯賽（列星頓SC vs 奧克蘭根源），結合市場最新隱含定價與擴展盤口進行深度戰力錨定：
