Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+6.0%
Secondary
Market
41.2%
Fila
39.4%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-1.8%
Result
Market
41.2%
Fila
39.4%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-1.8%
Settled
Brazilian Division 2 · 2026-07-23 06:30
· Fila
Ceara vs Clube de Regatas BrasilCeara vs Clube de Regatas Brasil
Predicted1-0
Actual0-1
Core setup [2.5] Narrow, second pick home win, expected to be a low-score tug-of-war result.
Primary[2.5] Under✓SecondaryHome✗ResultHome✗Goals O/U[2.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Fila probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Fila %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
