Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-11.6%
Secondary
Market
53.4%
Fila
56.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+2.6%
Result
Market
73.4%
Fila
61.8%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-11.6%
Settled
Copa Sudamericana · 2026-07-24 08:30
· Fila
Independiente Santa Fe vs CaracasIndependiente Santa Fe vs Caracas
Predicted2-0
Actual2-0
Core configuration is "Main [-1]", secondary choice "[2.5] Detail" echoes the 2-0 control-type decisive victory prediction
PrimaryMain[-1]—Secondary[2.5] Under✓ResultHome✓Goals O/U[2.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Fila probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Fila %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
