Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-9.2%
Secondary
Market
48.1%
Fila
54.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+5.9%
Result
Market
66.8%
Fila
57.6%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-9.2%
Settled
UE Cup · 2026-07-24 01:00
· Fila
Tromso vs Hradec KraloveTromso vs Hradec Kralove
Predicted2-0
Actual0-1
Core setup is home win, second pick [2.5] Fine to deal with a low-score home win pattern
PrimaryHome✗Secondary[2.5] Under✓ResultHome✗Goals O/U[2.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Fila probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Fila %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
