Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-9.9%
Secondary
Market
60.7%
Fila
62.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+1.3%
Result
Market
70.3%
Fila
60.4%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-9.9%
Settled
Australian NPL - Victoria · 2026-07-24 18:30
· Fila
Preston Lions vs Bentleigh GreensPreston Lions vs Bentleigh Greens
Predicted2-0
Actual1-0
Core setup for home win, secondary pick [3.5] Detailed echoes the 2:0 mid-low score prediction
PrimaryHome✓Secondary[3.5] Under✓ResultHome✓Goals O/U[3.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Fila probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Fila %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
