Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-15.6%
Secondary
Market
47.3%
Lexis
52.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+4.7%
Result
Market
83.0%
Lexis
67.4%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-15.6%
Settled
Women Russian Cup · 2026-07-24 22:00
· Lexis
CSKA Moscow Women's Football Team vs Razan Women's Football TeamCSKA Moscow Women's Football Team vs Razan Women's Football Team
Predicted3-0
Actual2-1
The core lineup is handicap home/away and 'Home [-2], with the secondary pick [3.5] echoing the estimated score of 3:0
PrimaryMain[-2]—Secondary[3.5] Under✓ResultHome✓Goals O/U[3.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Lexis probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Lexis %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
