Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-4.7%
Secondary
Market
61.5%
Lexis
62.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+0.5%
Result
Market
51.1%
Lexis
46.4%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-4.7%
Settled
Argentine Division 1 · 2026-07-25 05:58
· Lexis
Racing Club vs Gimnasia LPRacing Club vs Gimnasia LP
Predicted1-0
Actual2-1
Core setup is home win, secondary pick [2.5] Small, echoing the low-score narrow win prediction
PrimaryHome✓Secondary[2.5] Under✗ResultHome✓Goals O/U[2.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Lexis probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Lexis %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
深度分析
戰術與陣容態勢：
本場阿根廷甲組聯賽由競賽會（Racing Club）坐鎮主場迎戰甘拿斯亞（Gimnasia y Esgrima）。競賽會在主場的戰術控制力與整體實力稍佔上風，傳控體系較為穩定；甘拿斯亞則傾向於在客場採用中後場嚴密防禦與低位反擊策略，預期雙方在中場將展開激烈的路徑爭奪。
