Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-0.3%
Secondary
Market
43.6%
Lexis
62.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+18.4%
Result
Market
42.5%
Lexis
42.2%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-0.3%
Settled
Mexican Premier · 2026-07-25 11:00
· Lexis
Tijuana vs Club LeonTijuana vs Club Leon
Predicted2-1
Actual1-0
Core setup for home win, secondary pick [3.5] Detailed echoes the 2:1 prediction
PrimaryHome✓Secondary[3.5] Under✓ResultHome✓Goals O/U[3.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Lexis probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Lexis %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
