Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-9.5%
Secondary
Market
57.8%
Lexis
58.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+0.2%
Result
Market
60.1%
Lexis
50.6%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-9.5%
Settled
Swedish Division 1 · 2026-07-25 21:00
· Lexis
Degerfors vs DjurgardensDegerfors vs Djurgardens
Predicted1-2
Actual0-1
Core setup is away win, secondary pick [2.5] Big Supports Offensive Score Prediction
PrimaryAway✓Secondary[2.5] Over✗ResultAway✓Goals O/U[2.5] Over
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Lexis probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Lexis %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
