Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-13.7%
Secondary
Market
58.4%
Lexis
60.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+1.6%
Result
Market
66.4%
Lexis
52.7%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-13.7%
Settled
Finnish Division 1 · 2026-07-25 21:30
· Lexis
IFK Mariehamn vs AC OuluIFK Mariehamn vs AC Oulu
Predicted1-2
Actual1-1
Core bet is away win, secondary pick [2.5] is high, reflecting the high goals prediction
PrimaryAway✗Secondary[2.5] Over✗ResultAway✗Goals O/U[2.5] Over
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AC Oulu is a football club based in Oulu, Finland. The club's home ground is at Larty Stadium. The traditional colors of the jersey are navy blue and white.
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Lexis probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Lexis %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
