Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-8.7%
Secondary
Market
53.8%
Lexis
54.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+0.2%
Result
Market
68.4%
Lexis
59.7%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-8.7%
Settled
Australian NPL - Queensland · 2026-07-25 16:15
· Lexis
Gold Coast Knights vs Gold Coast UtdGold Coast Knights vs Gold Coast Utd
Predicted3-1
Actual1-1
The core configuration is the handicap home/away draw [-1], with the secondary pick [3.5] high, echoing the high score prediction
PrimaryMain[-1]—Secondary[3.5] Over✗ResultHome✗Goals O/U[3.5] Over
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Lexis probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Lexis %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
