Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-1.8%
Secondary
Market
56.0%
Lexis
58.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+2.0%
Result
Market
41.9%
Lexis
40.1%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-1.8%
Void
USL Championship · 2026-07-25 08:00
· Lexis
Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico UtdBirmingham Legion vs New Mexico Utd
Half-time prediction
1-0
Predicted
2-1
Core setup is home win, with [2.5] as the secondary pick, reflecting the high goals market orientation
PrimaryHomeSecondary[2.5] OverResultHomeGoals O/U[2.5] Over
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Lexis probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Lexis %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
