Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-12.3%
Secondary
Market
51.9%
Lexis
56.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+4.1%
Result
Market
82.5%
Lexis
70.2%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-12.3%
Settled
Austrian Cup · 2026-07-25 00:30
· Lexis
FC Dornbirn vs RiedFC Dornbirn vs Ried
Predicted0-3
Actual1-5
Core configuration is the handicap home/away [-2], with the secondary pick [3.5] supporting the three-goal margin prediction
PrimaryGuest[-2]—Secondary[3.5] Under✗ResultAway✓Goals O/U[3.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Lexis probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Lexis %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
