Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-14.1%
Secondary
Market
50.5%
Lexis
56.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+5.5%
Result
Market
81.5%
Lexis
67.4%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-14.1%
Settled
Scottish League Cup · 2026-07-25 22:00
· Lexis
St. Johnston vs IsfiSt. Johnston vs Isfi
Predicted3-0
Actual1-1
Core setup: handicap home/away, home [-2], secondary pick [3.5] narrow, to counter control-oriented big wins
PrimaryMain[-2]—Secondary[3.5] Under✓ResultHome✗Goals O/U[3.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Lexis probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Lexis %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
