Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-2.8%
Secondary
Market
55.0%
Aestus
63.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+8.0%
Result
Market
54.8%
Aestus
52.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-2.8%
Settled
Chilean Division 1 · 2026-07-26 05:27
· Aestus
Huachipato vs CobresalHuachipato vs Cobresal
Predicted2-1
Actual3-3
The core lineup is home win, with the secondary pick [2.5] supporting a 2-1 attack-oriented scoreline
PrimaryHome✗Secondary[2.5] Over✓ResultHome✗Goals O/U[2.5] Over
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Aestus probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Aestus %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
進攻火力與大細球結構：大細球基準線設定於 [2.5] 球，高區（ Over ）定價低至 1.68，低區（ Under ）則落在 2.05，市場資本極度看好本場出現進攻大比分。配合波膽隱含排名（1:0、1:1、2:1 均為熱門比分），整體定價模式符合「主隊壓制且防守留有漏洞、客隊具備反擊撕裂力」的交鋒特徵。
