Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-22.9%
Secondary
Market
53.8%
Lexis
56.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+2.2%
Result
Market
81.9%
Lexis
59.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-22.9%
Settled
Austrian Cup · 2026-07-26 00:30
· Lexis
Kamesar Sports Club vs Austria LustenauKamesar Sports Club vs Austria Lustenau
Predicted1-2
Actual0-1
Core setup for away win, second pick [3.5] under, estimated Austria Lusdenloch to narrowly win and advance.
PrimaryAway✓Secondary[3.5] Under✓ResultAway✓Goals O/U[3.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Lexis probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Lexis %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
