Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+2.7%
Secondary
Market
—
Ordo
30.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
—
Result
Market
47.2%
Ordo
43.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-4.1%
Settled
Argentine Division 1 · 2026-07-30 08:28
· Ordo
Instituto de Cordoba vs CA PlatenseInstituto de Cordoba vs CA Platense
Predicted1-0
Actual2-1
Core setup [2.5] is fine, then choose main [0] Water Flow Defense
Primary[2.5] Under✗SecondaryMain[0]—ResultHome✓Goals O/U[2.5] Under
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Unlock market reference pricing and deep analysis for this match — full-market pricing, weight allocation, actuarial narrative, and recommendation grid.
Atletico Platanes is a sports club in Florida, a suburb north of Buenos Aires, Argentina. The team currently participates in the Argentine Football League.
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Ordo probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Ordo %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
In-depth analysis
In this Argentine First Division match, Cordoba Academy faces CA Platanes at home. Observing from the market pricing structure, institutions are highly convinced of the "low score" in this game. [2.5] The market pricing are only 1.41 (implied probability is about 68%). The top three favorites are 1:0, 0:0 and 1:1 respectively. This reflects that both teams are typical A-League teams with low offensive efficiency and a shrinking tactical style.
In terms of winning and losing probability, the home team has a winning rate of 47.2% and a draw rate of 31.3%. The risk of a draw is high. When the home win confidence does not reach 50% and the draw rate is higher than 28%, the three-way direction (home and away and/handicap home and away) are strictly prohibited from being used as core assets. The comprehensive offensive data is consistent with the market market pricing, and the goal size [2.5] is the basic configuration with the highest confidence in the game; the defensive end is supplemented by the common draw asset Main[0] in the A-League to hedge against the strong midfield tug-of-war and the risk of a draw. The estimated full-time score is 1:0 or 0:0.
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