Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+10.4%
Secondary
Market
25.7%
Ordo
32.4%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+6.7%
Result
Market
26.1%
Ordo
31.7%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+5.6%
Settled
UE Champions · 2026-08-05 02:00
· Ordo
Sparta Prague vs LyonSparta Prague vs Lyon
Predicted1-1
Actual2-1
核心配置 [2.5] 細,次選讓球主客和主[+1] 看好主隊不敗
Primary[2.5] Under✗SecondaryHome[+1]✓ResultDraw✗Goals O/U[2.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Ordo probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Ordo %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.