Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+4.0%
Secondary
Market
55.7%
Ordo
49.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-6.7%
Result
Market
55.7%
Ordo
49.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-6.7%
Settled
Copa Chile · 2026-08-05 07:27
· Ordo
Deportivo Nublense vs Rangers F.C.Deportivo Nublense vs Rangers F.C.
Predicted2-1
Actual1-0
核心配置 [2.5] 大，次選主勝，預估比分 2-1。
Primary[2.5] Over✗SecondaryHome✓ResultHome✓Goals O/U[2.5] Over
✗
Unlock market reference pricing and deep analysis for this match — full-market pricing, weight allocation, actuarial narrative, and recommendation grid.
Virtual credits are for statistical research only · Unlocks are permanent for this match
✓Unlocked · Loading deep analysis…
★
Deep analysis
🔒
Loading quantitative analysis
Failed to load analysis. Please refresh the page.
Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Ordo probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Ordo %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
深度分析
賽事性質與級別差距
本場智利盃由智利甲組聯賽（智甲）球隊紐柏萊斯（Ñublense）主場迎戰智利乙組聯賽（智乙）球隊流浪者（Rangers de Talca）。紐柏萊斯在整體球員個人能力、陣容深度與比賽節奏適應上均佔據優勢，市場給予 1.58 的主勝折算機率約 55.7%，合理體現了聯賽級別的實力差距。
