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Market implied pricing vs Certus probability

Primary

Market —

Certus 55.0%

—

Secondary

Market 45.0%

Certus 55.0%

+10.0%

Result

Market 66.3%

Certus 57.6%

-8.7%

Settled

Japanese Division 1 · 2026-08-08 18:15 · Certus

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF United Chiba Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF United Chiba

Predicted 2-0

Actual 3-0

核心配置讓球主[-1/-1.5]，次選 [2.5] 細

Primary Home[-1/-1.5] Secondary [2.5] Under Result Home Goals O/U [2.5] Under

Market reference pricing

主客和

Home win

1.33

Market implied 75.2%

Draw

4.35

Market implied 23.0%

Away win

6.6

Market implied 15.2%

半場主客和

Home win

1.77

Market implied 56.5%

Draw

2.34

Market implied 42.7%

Away win

6.7

Market implied 14.9%

半場入球大細

[1.5]

Over

2.62

Market implied 38.2%

Under

1.42

Market implied 70.4%

[1.5/2]

Over

3.25

Market implied 30.8%

Under

1.28

Market implied 78.1%

[2.5]

Over

5.6

Market implied 17.9%

Under

1.09

Market implied 91.7%

入球大細

[2.5]

Over

1.68

Market implied 59.5%

Under

2.05

Market implied 48.8%

[2.5/3]

Over

1.87

Market implied 53.5%

Under

1.83

Market implied 54.6%

[3.5]

Over

2.8

Market implied 35.7%

Under

1.37

Market implied 73.0%

球隊入球大細

主 [1.5] 大

1.5

Market implied 66.7%

主 [1.5] 細

2.4

Market implied 41.7%

主 [2.5] 大

2.65

Market implied 37.7%

主 [2.5] 細

1.41

Market implied 70.9%

客 [0.5] 大

1.71

Market implied 58.5%

客 [0.5] 細

2.01

Market implied 49.8%

客 [1.5] 大

4.3

Market implied 23.3%

客 [1.5] 細

1.16

Market implied 86.2%

球隊半場入球大細

主 [0.5] 大

1.57

Market implied 63.7%

主 [0.5] 細

2.25

Market implied 44.4%

客 [0.5] 大

3.25

Market implied 30.8%

客 [0.5] 細

1.28

Market implied 78.1%

讓球主客和

主[-1]

2.04

Market implied 49.0%

和[-1]

3.4

Market implied 29.4%

客[+1]

2.8

Market implied 35.7%

主[-2]

3.8

Market implied 26.3%

和[-2]

4.05

Market implied 24.7%

客[+2]

1.58

Market implied 63.3%

半場讓球

主[-0.5/-1]

2.29

Market implied 43.7%

客[+0.5/+1]

1.55

Market implied 64.5%

讓球

主[-1/-1.5]

1.91

Market implied 52.4%

客[+1/+1.5]

1.85

Market implied 54.1%

波膽

Home

1:0

6.0

2:0

5.9

2:1

6.9

3:0

8.0

3:1

10.5

3:2

25.0

4:0

16.0

4:1

20.0

4:2

40.0

5:0

35.0

5:1

40.0

5:2

70.0

Draw

0:0

12.0

1:1

8.25

2:2

17.0

3:3

60.0

Away

0:1

17.0

0:2

35.0

1:2

18.0

0:3

80.0

1:3

50.0

2:3

40.0

0:4

400.0

1:4

200.0

2:4

200.0

0:5

1000.0

1:5

700.0

2:5

700.0

半場波膽

Home

1:0

3.1

2:0

5.5

2:1

13.5

3:0

14.5

3:1

50.0

3:2

250.0

4:0

70.0

4:1

200.0

4:2

700.0

5:0

400.0

5:1

700.0

5:2

2000.0

Draw

0:0

2.74

1:1

7.75

2:2

80.0

3:3

1000.0

Away

0:1

7.5

0:2

40.0

1:2

40.0

0:3

300.0

1:3

300.0

2:3

600.0

0:4

1500.0

1:4

1500.0

2:4

3000.0

0:5

5000.0

1:5

5000.0

2:5

5000.0

半全場

主-主

1.96

Market implied 51.0%

主-和

16.0

Market implied 6.2%

主-客

40.0

Market implied 2.5%

和-主

3.7

Market implied 27.0%

和-和

6.4

Market implied 15.6%

和-客

14.0

Market implied 7.1%

客-主

20.0

Market implied 5.0%

客-和

16.0

Market implied 6.2%

客-客

11.0

Market implied 9.1%

總入球

0球

12.0

Market implied 8.3%

1球

4.9

Market implied 20.4%

2球

3.65

Market implied 27.4%

3球

3.6

Market implied 27.8%

4球

4.85

Market implied 20.6%

5球

7.25

Market implied 13.8%

6球

14.0

Market implied 7.1%

7+球

22.0

Market implied 4.5%

入球單雙

單

1.85

Market implied 54.1%

雙

1.85

Market implied 54.1%

第一隊入球

主

1.3

Market implied 76.9%

無

12.0

Market implied 8.3%

客

3.45

Market implied 29.0%

Recent form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Insufficient sample

JEF United Chiba

Insufficient sample

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