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Market implied pricing vs Certus probability

Primary

Market 59.6%

Certus 62.0%

+2.4%

Secondary

Market 41.3%

Certus 38.9%

-2.4%

Result

Market 41.3%

Certus 38.9%

-2.4%

Settled

Argentine Division 1 · 2026-08-10 04:43 · Certus

Defensa y Justicia vs Newell's Old Boys Defensa y Justicia vs Newell's Old Boys

Predicted 1-0

Actual 2-1

Core configuration [2.5] fine, second choice handicap home and away and home [+1]

Primary [2.5] Under Secondary Lord[+1] Result Home Goals O/U [2.5] Under

Market reference pricing

主客和

Home win

2.14

Market implied 46.7%

Draw

2.92

Market implied 34.2%

Away win

3.1

Market implied 32.3%

半場主客和

Home win

2.8

Market implied 35.7%

Draw

1.89

Market implied 52.9%

Away win

3.9

Market implied 25.6%

半場入球大細

[1/1.5]

Over

2.8

Market implied 35.7%

Under

1.37

Market implied 73.0%

[1.5]

Over

3.35

Market implied 29.9%

Under

1.27

Market implied 78.7%

[1.5/2]

Over

4.3

Market implied 23.3%

Under

1.16

Market implied 86.2%

入球大細

[2/2.5]

Over

1.98

Market implied 50.5%

Under

1.73

Market implied 57.8%

[2.5]

Over

2.29

Market implied 43.7%

Under

1.55

Market implied 64.5%

[3.5]

Over

4.15

Market implied 24.1%

Under

1.17

Market implied 85.5%

球隊入球大細

主 [1.5] 大

2.5

Market implied 40.0%

主 [1.5] 細

1.46

Market implied 68.5%

客 [1.5] 大

3.25

Market implied 30.8%

客 [1.5] 細

1.28

Market implied 78.1%

球隊半場入球大細

主 [0.5] 大

2.15

Market implied 46.5%

主 [0.5] 細

1.62

Market implied 61.7%

客 [0.5] 大

2.6

Market implied 38.5%

客 [0.5] 細

1.43

Market implied 69.9%

讓球主客和

主[-1]

4.5

Market implied 22.2%

和[-1]

3.6

Market implied 27.8%

客[+1]

1.56

Market implied 64.1%

主[+1]

1.27

Market implied 78.7%

和[+1]

4.6

Market implied 21.7%

客[-1]

7.25

Market implied 13.8%

波膽

Home

1:0

5.6

2:0

9.0

2:1

8.25

3:0

20.0

3:1

20.0

3:2

30.0

4:0

40.0

4:1

40.0

4:2

70.0

5:0

125.0

5:1

125.0

5:2

250.0

Draw

0:0

6.6

1:1

5.6

2:2

14.5

3:3

70.0

Away

0:1

7.25

0:2

14.5

1:2

10.5

0:3

35.0

1:3

30.0

2:3

40.0

0:4

80.0

1:4

70.0

2:4

100.0

0:5

400.0

1:5

300.0

2:5

400.0

半場波膽

Home

1:0

3.85

2:0

9.5

2:1

19.0

3:0

50.0

3:1

100.0

3:2

400.0

4:0

300.0

4:1

600.0

4:2

1000.0

5:0

1000.0

5:1

2000.0

5:2

5000.0

Draw

0:0

2.16

1:1

6.9

2:2

80.0

3:3

1000.0

Away

0:1

5.3

0:2

14.5

1:2

26.0

0:3

100.0

1:3

150.0

2:3

500.0

0:4

600.0

1:4

800.0

2:4

2000.0

0:5

3000.0

1:5

5000.0

2:5

5000.0

半全場

主-主

3.6

Market implied 27.8%

主-和

13.5

Market implied 7.4%

主-客

35.0

Market implied 2.9%

和-主

4.8

Market implied 20.8%

和-和

4.05

Market implied 24.7%

和-客

6.6

Market implied 15.2%

客-主

29.0

Market implied 3.4%

客-和

13.5

Market implied 7.4%

客-客

5.0

Market implied 20.0%

總入球

0球

6.6

Market implied 15.2%

1球

3.7

Market implied 27.0%

2球

3.15

Market implied 31.7%

3球

3.9

Market implied 25.6%

4球

6.2

Market implied 16.1%

5球

12.5

Market implied 8.0%

6球

30.0

Market implied 3.3%

7+球

40.0

Market implied 2.5%

入球單雙

單

1.9

Market implied 52.6%

雙

1.8

Market implied 55.6%

第一隊入球

主

1.81

Market implied 55.2%

無

6.6

Market implied 15.2%

客

2.28

Market implied 43.9%

Recent form

Defensa y Justicia

L W D

2026-08-02 學生隊 3-0
2026-07-30 萊斯查 2-1
2026-07-24 阿度斯維 1-1

Newell's Old Boys

D L W

2026-08-03 小保加 2-2
2026-07-31 獨立隊 1-0
2026-07-26 泰拿尼斯 1-0

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