Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+4.6%
Secondary
Market
—
Libra
30.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
—
Result
Market
44.8%
Libra
46.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+1.2%
Settled
Korean Division 1 · 2026-07-21 18:30
· Libra
Ulsan HD vs Incheon UtdUlsan HD vs Incheon Utd
Predicted1-0
Actual1-2
The 2.5-ball narrow is the core main line, paired with a full-court main [0] tie defense
Primary[2.5] Under✗SecondaryHome[0]✗ResultHome✗Goals O/U[2.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Libra probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Libra %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
深度分析
根據當前市場最新隱含定價與擴展盤口數據，本場南韓職業聯賽（蔚山HD vs 仁川聯）呈現明確的小球防禦型格局。
