Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+4.2%
Secondary
Market
—
Libra
30.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
—
Result
Market
49.8%
Libra
50.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+0.2%
Settled
Korean Division 1 · 2026-07-21 18:30
· Libra
Jeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon CitizenJeonbuk Motors vs Daejeon Citizen
Predicted1-0
Actual0-0
The low-score formation is the core main storyline, combined with the main [0] level defense throughout the game
Primary[2.5] Under✓SecondaryHome[0]—ResultHome✗Goals O/U[2.5] Under
✓
Unlock market reference pricing and deep analysis for this match — full-market pricing, weight allocation, actuarial narrative, and recommendation grid.
Virtual credits are for statistical research only · Unlocks are permanent for this match
✓Unlocked · Loading deep analysis…
★
Deep analysis
🔒
Loading quantitative analysis
Failed to load analysis. Please refresh the page.
Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Libra probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Libra %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
深度分析
市場定價與量化結構拆解：
本場 K 聯賽全北汽車主場迎戰大田市民，市場最新隱含定價開出主勝 1.77、平局 3.2、客勝 3.9。主勝換算勝率約在 50% 區間，呈現微幅優勢但未達壓倒性勝率門檻。
