Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-2.1%
Secondary
Market
72.1%
Ramus
70.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-2.1%
Result
Market
72.1%
Ramus
70.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-2.1%
Settled
Scottish League Cup · 2026-07-22 02:45
· Ramus
Partick Thistle vs StenhousemuirPartick Thistle vs Stenhousemuir
Predicted3-0
Actual2-2
The home team has a clear advantage, with asset allocation centered on a full-time home win, supplemented by a 3.5-goal under-goal for a low-risk portfolio.
PrimaryHome✗SecondaryMain[-1]—ResultHome✗Goals O/U[3.5] Under
✗
Unlock market reference pricing and deep analysis for this match — full-market pricing, weight allocation, actuarial narrative, and recommendation grid.
Virtual credits are for statistical research only · Unlocks are permanent for this match
✓Unlocked · Loading deep analysis…
★
Deep analysis
🔒
Loading quantitative analysis
Failed to load analysis. Please refresh the page.
Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Ramus probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Ramus %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
