Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-5.7%
Secondary
Market
60.7%
Lexis
62.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+1.3%
Result
Market
57.7%
Lexis
52.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-5.7%
Settled
Australian NPL - Victoria · 2026-07-25 15:00
· Lexis
Dandenong Thunder vs Altona MagicDandenong Thunder vs Altona Magic
Predicted1-2
Actual0-2
Core setup is away win, second pick [3.5] Detailed Echoes 1-2 Low Score Prediction
PrimaryAway✓Secondary[3.5] Under✓ResultAway✓Goals O/U[3.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Lexis probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Lexis %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
