Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+9.2%
Secondary
Market
51.3%
Lexis
53.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+1.7%
Result
Market
37.2%
Lexis
46.4%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+9.2%
Settled
Women US Football League · 2026-07-25 10:00
· Lexis
Portland Thorns Women's Team vs NJNY Gotham WomenPortland Thorns Women's Team vs NJNY Gotham Women
Predicted0-2
Actual2-2
Core setup is away win, second pick [2.5] Detailed echoes Gotham Women's controlled away win
PrimaryAway✗Secondary[2.5] Under✗ResultAway✗Goals O/U[2.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Lexis probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Lexis %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
