Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-8.7%
Secondary
Market
58.9%
Lexis
62.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+3.1%
Result
Market
67.7%
Lexis
59.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-8.7%
Settled
Women US Football League · 2026-07-25 08:00
· Lexis
Orlando Glory Women's Team vs Chicago Stars WomenOrlando Glory Women's Team vs Chicago Stars Women
Predicted2-0
Actual1-0
The core lineup is Orlando Glory Women's "Home[-1]", with the secondary pick "[3.5] Under" to secure a high-probability win
PrimaryMain[-1]—Secondary[3.5] Under✓ResultHome✓Goals O/U[3.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Lexis probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Lexis %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
