Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
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Secondary
Market
68.1%
Aestus
70.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+1.9%
Result
Market
44.8%
Aestus
41.4%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-3.4%
Settled
Argentine Division 1 · 2026-07-26 08:28
· Aestus
Lanus vs San LorenzoLanus vs San Lorenzo
Predicted1-0
Actual1-0
核心配置亞洲讓球「主[0]」，次選「[2.5] 細」防範低比分及打和風險
PrimaryHome[0]✓Secondary[2.5] Under✓ResultHome✓Goals O/U[2.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Aestus probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Aestus %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
