Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+0.3%
Secondary
Market
55.0%
Aestus
58.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+3.0%
Result
Market
60.8%
Aestus
61.1%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+0.3%
Settled
USL Championship · 2026-07-26 07:00
· Aestus
Miami FC vs Tampa Bay RowdiesMiami FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
Predicted1-2
Actual2-3
Core lineup is away win, second pick [2.5] is big, reflecting both teams' firepower and lineup dynamics
PrimaryAway✓Secondary[2.5] Over✓ResultAway✓Goals O/U[2.5] Over
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Aestus probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Aestus %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
