Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+4.3%
Secondary
Market
—
Ordo
30.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
—
Result
Market
47.3%
Ordo
42.9%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-4.4%
Settled
Women US Football League · 2026-08-02 06:30
· Ordo
Kansas City Current Women vs Angel City WomenKansas City Current Women vs Angel City Women
Predicted2-1
Actual1-1
Core build [2.5] is large, then choose main [0] Water Runway Defense
Primary[2.5] Over✗SecondaryMain[0]—ResultHome✗Goals O/U[2.5] Over
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Unlock market reference pricing and deep analysis for this match — full-market pricing, weight allocation, actuarial narrative, and recommendation grid.
The Kansas City Trending Women's Soccer (NWSL) is headquartered in Kansas City and joined the Women's National Professional League in 2020. Its home stadium, CPKC Stadium, is the league's benchmark dedicated football stadium.
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Ordo probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Ordo %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
In-depth Analysis
Tactical and institutional pricing analysis:
In this Women's National Women's Professional League (NWSL) match, Kansas City Trend Girls hosted Angel City Women. The market offers a home win at 1.85, a draw at 3.50, and an away win at 3.15. After margining, the implied probability of a home win is about 47.3%, placing it in a typical 42%–52% gray area game.
From the perspective of tactical style and match characteristics, Kansas City Trend Women's home attack is extremely fast, focusing on high pressing and wing pressing, generating many xG; However, his high-pressure lines often leave opponents room for transition in the backcourt. The Angel City women's team possesses outstanding counterattack explosiveness, making their encounters prone to turning into high-tempo attacking battles.
Asset Allocation Strategy:
The organizers set the baseline for under goals at 2.5 goals, with the over area (over) as low as 1.69, indicating high market recognition of both teams' scoring ability. In a situation where the probability of winning is more dispersed (with a home win probability below 50%), the risk in the three key factors is higher. Therefore, the core configuration is locked in [2.5] large (model estimates 59% probability). The secondary option uses Handicap Home[0]** as a defensive asset to hedge against draw risk. The estimated score for the full game was 2:1.
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