Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+5.0%
Secondary
Market
—
Ordo
30.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
—
Result
Market
39.6%
Ordo
38.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-1.6%
Settled
Women Swedish Division 1 · 2026-08-04 01:00
· Ordo
Vittsjö GIK vs FC RosengårdVittsjö GIK vs FC Rosengård
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Ordo probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Ordo %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
In-depth Analysis
Tactics and Situation Assessment
In this Women's Swedish Allsvensk match, Wissow Women hosted the traditional powerhouse Rosingard Women. This season, Rosingard Women continue to demonstrate strong attacking pressure and ball control rhythm, ranking among the league's top in possession and shots per game. However, their away defense occasionally relaxed when facing fast counterattacks. Westward Women's team has shown great resilience at home, focusing on counterattacks and aerial tactics. In recent home encounters, they have caused considerable trouble for Rosingard and scored goals.
Market Pricing and Asset Selection
The latest market implied probabilities are: home win 35.0%, draw 25.4%, away win 39.6%. With the highest one-way win rate (away win 39.6%) below the 45% confidence threshold, the market entered an extremely deadlocked gray zone pricing. Conversely, the over and under (2.5 goals) is priced at 1.71 (implied probability of about 58%–59%), indicating that institutions have higher expectations for both teams' scoring ability.
Integrated Decision-Making
Given the high uncertainty in the direction of wins and losses, the allocation avoids higher-risk home-and-guest sums, making [2.5] large the core asset with the highest confidence (Primary); The secondary option is Away[0] (Asian handicap draw), using Rosingaut's slight overall strength to offset the risk of a draw or a draw.
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