Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+2.4%
Secondary
Market
—
Ordo
30.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
—
Result
Market
39.3%
Ordo
37.5%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-1.7%
Settled
Russian Cup · 2026-08-05 01:45
· Ordo
Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA MoscowLokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moscow
Predicted2-1
Actual1-1
核心配置 [2.5] 大，次選主[0] 走水防禦
Primary[2.5] Over✗SecondaryHome[0]—ResultHome✗Goals O/U[2.5] Over
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Ordo probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Ordo %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
深度分析
本場俄羅斯盃迎來同城打吡「莫斯科火車頭 vs 莫斯科中央陸軍」。綜合戰術格局與市場定價結構評估如下：
