Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-11.2%
Secondary
Market
51.3%
Ordo
58.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+6.7%
Result
Market
75.1%
Ordo
63.9%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-11.2%
Settled
Leagues Cup · 2026-08-05 10:30
· Ordo
Vancouver Whitecaps vs AtlanteVancouver Whitecaps vs Atlante
Predicted3-0
Actual0-1
核心配置主[-2]，次選 [3.5] 細
PrimaryHome[-2]✗Secondary[3.5] Under✓ResultHome✗Goals O/U[3.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Ordo probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Ordo %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
深度分析
賽事背景與級別差距：本場北美聯賽盃為美職聯（MLS）與墨西哥甲組聯賽（Liga de Expansión MX）的跨級別對決。溫哥華白帽在整體陣容深度、聯賽競爭強度及主場作戰環境上均占據優勢。客隊阿蘭特作為墨甲球隊，作客面對美職強旅存在實力上的級別差。
