Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+9.7%
Secondary
Market
65.3%
Ordo
57.6%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-7.7%
Result
Market
65.3%
Ordo
57.6%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-7.7%
Settled
Copa Chile · 2026-08-06 08:27
· Ordo
Coquimbo Unido vs Sportivo San MarcosCoquimbo Unido vs Sportivo San Marcos
Predicted2-0
Actual1-0
核心配置 [2.5] 細，次選主[-1] 穿盤
Primary[2.5] Under✓SecondaryHome[-1]✗ResultHome✓Goals O/U[2.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Ordo probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Ordo %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
