Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-3.7%
Secondary
Market
56.0%
Fila
58.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+2.0%
Result
Market
45.2%
Fila
41.5%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-3.7%
Settled
UE Conference · 2026-07-24 00:30
· Fila
AEK Rayanaka vs Beitar JerusalemAEK Rayanaka vs Beitar Jerusalem
Predicted1-0
Actual0-1
Core setup for home win, second pick [2.5] Narrow, echoing a low score 1:0 prediction
PrimaryHome✗Secondary[2.5] Under✓ResultHome✗Goals O/U[2.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Fila probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Fila %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
