Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-1.7%
Secondary
Market
59.9%
Fila
62.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+2.1%
Result
Market
44.6%
Fila
42.9%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-1.7%
Settled
UE Conference · 2026-07-24 02:30
· Fila
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs LudogdesHapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogdes
Predicted0-1
Actual2-0
Core setup for away win, second pick [2.5] Detailed echoes the away team's narrow win with a low score
PrimaryAway✗Secondary[2.5] Under✓ResultAway✗Goals O/U[2.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Fila probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Fila %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
深度分析
針對 特拉維夫夏普爾 vs 盧多格德斯 的歐洲協會聯賽對決,結合市場最新盤口數據與量化模型進行臨場深度評估: