Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-7.2%
Secondary
Market
56.4%
Fila
58.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+1.6%
Result
Market
62.0%
Fila
54.8%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-7.2%
Settled
UE Conference · 2026-07-24 02:00
· Fila
The grain was harvested and harvested vs AjaxThe grain was harvested and harvested vs Ajax
Predicted1-2
Actual1-4
Core setup is away win, second pick [2.5] high, echoing Ajax's away attack prediction
PrimaryAway✓Secondary[2.5] Over✓ResultAway✓Goals O/U[2.5] Over
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Fila probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Fila %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
