Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
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Secondary
Market
50.5%
Lexis
56.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+5.5%
Result
Market
10.7%
Lexis
40.1%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+29.4%
Settled
Korean Division 1 · 2026-07-25 18:30
· Lexis
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon CitizenGimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon Citizen
Predicted0-1
Actual3-2
Core configuration is away [0], secondary choice [2.5] Detailed echoes the low score prediction for away win
PrimaryGuest[0]—Secondary[2.5] Under✗ResultAway✗Goals O/U[2.5] Under
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Lexis probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Lexis %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
