Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-6.0%
Secondary
Market
60.4%
Lexis
62.0%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
+1.6%
Result
Market
56.6%
Lexis
50.6%
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
-6.0%
Settled
Swiss Super League · 2026-07-26 00:00
· Lexis
Lausanne vs GrasshoppersLausanne vs Grasshoppers
Predicted2-1
Actual1-1
Core setup is home win, with the second pick [2.5] high, reflecting the high goals prediction
PrimaryHome✗Secondary[2.5] Over✗ResultHome✗Goals O/U[2.5] Over
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Asset weight allocation
Full-time HAD probabilities
Half-time HAD probabilities
Market implied pricing vs Lexis probability
Absolute gap between the calibration model probability and the market-implied probability. Larger gaps signal greater divergence from market consensus.
Dimension
Market implied %
Lexis %
Premium rate
Market recommendations
Asset weight metrics on this platform are for FPL virtual points allocation and statistical probability research only — not financial investment advice.
Actuarial narrative
This content is machine-translated for reference only; the Traditional Chinese version prevails.
深度分析
戰術與陣容動向
本場為 2026-27 賽季瑞士超級聯賽開局交鋒，由洛桑（Lausanne-Sport）主場迎戰草蜢（Grasshopper Club Zürich）。洛桑在主場向來具備較強的邊路壓迫與主動控球節奏，戰術體系穩定度較佳；客隊草蜢在防守過渡階段容易出現陣型拉折，作客面對高強度壓迫時後防穩定度稍顯不足。
